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2024-12-14 09:40:25

CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.The number of registered warehouse receipts for steel futures reached a new high in recent five years. In 2024, the spot price of steel continued to hover near the production cost line, which made the development of steel enterprises face a staged dilemma. In order to stabilize daily operations, more and more iron and steel enterprises began to participate in the futures market, the most direct manifestation of which is the significant increase in the number of registered warehouse receipts for steel futures. In November this year, the registered volume of hot-rolled coil futures warehouse receipts in Shanghai Futures Exchange once reached 523,100 tons, a record high of nearly five years. Previously, the registered volume of rebar futures warehouse receipts reached the highest value of 210,100 tons in the past five years in September this year, and the registered volume of stainless steel futures warehouse receipts reached the highest value of 197,100 tons since listing in July this year. (SSE)The latest 24-hour situation tracking of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict (December 12) The conflict situation: 1. The French President considers deploying a European peacekeeping force in Ukraine. 2. Uzbekistan claims that the city of Zaporoge was attacked by Russian troops, resulting in 6 deaths and 22 injuries. The Ukrainian military said it attacked the oil depot in the Bryansk region of Russia. 4. Russian Ministry of Defence: Russian air defense forces destroyed 14 Ukrainian drones overnight. 5. Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs: On December 10th, Ukraine attacked the car in which the experts of the International Atomic Energy Agency were riding, and the attack occurred near the nuclear power plant controlled by Ukraine. 6. Russian media: The Russian side said that it was attacked by six ATACMS missiles today. Russia said it would respond to today's ATACMS missile attack. 7. Governor of Belgorod, Russia: Ukrainian troops fired more than 30 shells in Belgorod within 24 hours, causing no casualties or property losses. 8. US officials: Russia may launch another experimental "Oreshnik" missile to Ukraine in the next few days. The United States focuses on providing Ukraine with an air defense system to defend against Russian missiles and drones. Others: 1. Polish Prime Minister Tusk: He will visit Ukraine in early 2025. 2. Hungarian Prime Minister: Zelensky categorically rejected the ceasefire on December 25th. 3. German Chancellor Scholz: The Ukrainian energy sector needs a lot of private investment. 4. Sources: NATO may raise its expenditure target to as high as 3% of GDP. 5. Diplomat: The EU envoy failed to reach an agreement on the 15th round of sanctions against Russia. 6. Ukrainian Finance Minister: Ukraine can resist at least until the middle of next year without American assistance. 7. US Treasury Secretary Yellen: US sanctions against Russia "continue to tighten" and have tried to curb Russian income through innovative ways. 8. Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs: The relationship with the United States is in jeopardy, calling on Russian citizens not to travel to the United States. Russia has asked the United States to agree to appoint a new ambassador to the United States. 9. Two sources: Ukrainian President Zelensky used his first meeting with Donald Trump since the US presidential election to show that Ukraine needs security guarantees in any negotiations to end the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.


Dozens of people were killed in attacks in Gaza. According to several Palestinian media reports, on the 11th local time, Israeli troops continued to attack many places in Gaza, causing dozens of deaths. Among them, near Kamal Adouan Hospital in the northern part of Gaza, Israeli troops attacked again that day, killing at least 30 people, most of whom were women and children. In addition, on the same day, the Israeli army burned dozens of houses in the Gebali refugee camp in the northern Gaza Strip, and many places such as Deir Balah in the Gaza Strip, Nusailit refugee camp and Khan Younis in the southern Gaza Strip were also attacked by the Israeli army, causing casualties. (CCTV News)Seven people were killed in the attack on Rafah, a city in the southern Gaza. On the 12th local time, it was learned from the Palestinian side that Israeli troops bombed Rafah, a city in the southern Gaza, killing seven people and injuring many others. According to medical staff in Rafah, seven dead people were attacked while protecting a rescue truck that arrived in the city. (CCTV News)The first-line private placement has become the strategic focus of "going to the position" and "adding flexibility". Recently, the A-share market has continued to fluctuate and strengthen, and market trading tends to be active. The private equity industry's judgment on the market outlook is generally positive. A number of first-line private placements said in an interview with reporters this week that the A-share market is expected to start up at the end of the year, and it is an important strategy to focus on "technological growth" and "domestic demand" in terms of structural mainline, maintain a high position and increase portfolio flexibility. (CSI Taurus)


Seven people were killed in the attack on Rafah, a city in the southern Gaza. On the 12th local time, it was learned from the Palestinian side that Israeli troops bombed Rafah, a city in the southern Gaza, killing seven people and injuring many others. According to medical staff in Rafah, seven dead people were attacked while protecting a rescue truck that arrived in the city. (CCTV News)The FTSE A50 index closed down 0.01% at 13,475 points in a row.Australia announced the establishment of bass strait (the strait between the Australian mainland and Tasmania) offshore wind power area in Tasmania, southeast of Australia.

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